Susan Nakhumicha has emerged as the leading candidate in the 2027 Trans Nzoia gubernatorial race, according to the latest Mwelekeo Insights survey. The former Cabinet Secretary recorded 44.1 percent support, placing her at the top of the poll and giving her a clear lead in the early contest for the governor’s seat.
Top Contenders
Susan Nakhumicha of Ford-Kenya tops the list with 44.1 percent support. She has built a strong following through her past national roles and connections within the county.
Many respondents appear to see her as a capable leader who can bring development and stability.
Close behind her is Dr. Chris Wamalwa, also of Ford-Kenya, who secured 35.9 percent. The two Ford-Kenya candidates together command a large share of the support, showing that the party holds significant influence in Trans Nzoia at this stage of the race.
George Natembeya of DAP-K comes in third with 15.1 percent. As a known political figure in the region, he maintains a solid base of support even though he trails the top two.
Further down the rankings, Maurice Kakai Bisau of UDA received 1.9 percent. Andrew Wanyonyi, listed without a party affiliation, got 1.7 percent.
Philemon Samoei of UDA rounded out the main candidates with 1.3 percent.
Understanding the Results
The survey paints a picture of a race currently dominated by Ford-Kenya personalities. Nakhumicha’s clear lead of more than eight percentage points over Wamalwa suggests she has the early advantage. At the same time, Wamalwa’s strong second place means the contest within the party could still shape the final outcome.
Natembeya’s 15.1 percent shows he remains a relevant player who could influence the race depending on future alliances or shifts in public mood.
The lower percentages for Bisau, Wanyonyi, and Samoei indicate that these candidates currently have limited traction among those who took part in the survey.
Trans Nzoia is an important agricultural county in the Rift Valley. Issues such as farming support, infrastructure, youth opportunities, and good governance are likely to play a big role in how residents make their final choices.
The current rankings give an early look of public feeling, but opinions can change as campaigns grow stronger and more candidates enter the field.
Mwelekeo Insights
Mwelekeo Insights regularly conducts digital opinion surveys to track public sentiment on political races across Kenya.
In recent months the firm has released several similar governor surveys.
In the Mombasa Governor 2027 Survey, Abdulswamad Nassir of ODM led with 39.9 percent, followed by Ali Menza Mbogo of Linda Mwananchi with 33.3 percent, Mohamed Ali “Jicho Pevu” of Wiper with 19.3 percent, Suleiman Shahbal of ODM with 3.7 percent, and Hassan Omar of UDA with 3.3 percent.
In the Kiambu County Governor 2027 Survey, John Mwaura Kogi of DCP came first with 46.2 percent, Kimani Wamatangi followed with 27.8 percent, Alice Ng’ang’a of UDA secured 14.4 percent, Patrick Wainaina “Jungle” of DCP got 10.6 percent, and James Nyoro of Jubilee recorded 1 percent.
In the Kakamega County 2027 Governor Survey, Boni Khalwale of UPM led with 37.8 percent, Cleophas Malala of DCP had 20.8 percent, Ayub Savula of UDA recorded 12.5 percent, Fernandes Barasa of ODM got 10.4 percent, Christopher Aseka received 8.9 percent, Samuel Omukoko of FPK secured 5.3 percent, and Elsie Muhanda of ODM finished with 4.2 percent.
These earlier surveys, like the current Trans Nzoia one, offer useful early insights into local races.
Mwelekeo Insights continues to provide clear data that helps the public and stakeholders understand shifting political support across different counties.
