Geoffrey Wauna, popularly known as Pedeshee, has taken the lead in the race for Makadara Constituency Member of Parliament according to a recent poll by Mwelekeo Insights.
The poll shows him ahead with 35.9 percent support, followed closely by Irungu Nyakera at 30.2 percent and Faith Norah Lukosi at 28.8 percent.
These early figures give a clear picture of how residents in this busy Nairobi constituency are thinking as the country moves toward the next general election.
A close contest takes shape
The results point to a tight three-way race that is already drawing attention. Pedeshee sits at the top, yet the gap between him and the next two candidates is not wide. Nyakera is only a few points behind, while Lukosi is also within striking distance.
Together, these three account for nearly all the support recorded, leaving the remaining candidates with very small shares. Benson Mutura follows at 2.4 percent, Reuben Ndolo at 1.0 percent.
What stands out is how the contest has settled around these three names. In many constituencies, one or two figures pull far ahead early. In Makadara, the leading group remains clustered. This suggests that voters are still weighing their options carefully. Some may be looking at past performance, others at party affiliation, and others still at who they believe can deliver practical results on the ground.
Party lines also play a role.
Pedeshee and Lukosi appear under the Liberal Movement banner, while Nyakera is linked to the Democracy for Citizens Party. This creates an interesting dynamic where two candidates from the same party sit near the top, yet face strong competition from a rival party contender. Smaller players from other parties and independent candidates have so far failed to make a significant mark, which further concentrates attention on the leading trio.
What the poll tells us about Makadara
Makadara is a constituency that mixes residential areas, markets, and busy transport routes. Residents deal with everyday concerns such as jobs, security, housing, and access to services. In such a setting, opinion polls often reflect more than just name recognition. They can show which candidates are connecting with people on the issues that matter most.
The fact that three candidates are so close suggests that no single message has yet dominated the conversation. Pedeshee’s lead indicates he has built a solid base of support, but the strong showing by Nyakera and Lukosi means the race remains open.
Campaigns in the coming months will likely focus on turning that early support into firmer commitments while trying to attract the smaller share of voters still looking at other options.
It is also worth noting that this was an open online poll. People who chose to take part shared their views, and the results reflect those opinions.
As with any early survey, the picture can shift as more residents become engaged, as candidates increase their visibility, and as local issues take clearer shape closer to election time. Still, the current ranking gives a useful starting point for understanding where the race stands today.
The narrow margins make the contest especially interesting to watch. A few percentage points separate first from second, and second from third.
In politics, such gaps can close or widen quickly depending on how candidates respond, how they organise on the ground, and how they address the daily concerns of Makadara residents.
For now, Pedeshee holds the advantage, but Nyakera and Lukosi remain firmly in the picture.
Mwelekeo Insights continues to track public opinion across different parts of Kenya through regular polls and surveys.
Their work on the Makadara race adds to a growing body of findings that help paint a wider picture of voter thinking ahead of the next election cycle.
Similar exercises have been carried out in other areas.
